The Role of Financial Inclusion in Human Development: Evidence from Indonesia
Keywords:
Human Development, Financial Inclusion, Fintech Lending, System GMM, Dynamic PanelAbstract
This study aims to analyze the role of the financial sector in shaping human development in Indonesia, with particular emphasis on financial inclusion and fintech lending. The analysis employs panel data covering 32 provinces over the period 2019–2023 and applies a dynamic panel System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) approach to address potential endogeneity issues. The estimation results indicate that the Human Development Index (HDI) exhibits strong persistence, as past HDI levels have a positive and statistically significant effect on current HDI. Furthermore, financial inclusion is found to exert a positive and significant impact on HDI, suggesting that greater access to formal financial services contributes to improvements in education, health outcomes, and living standards. In contrast, fintech lending does not show a statistically significant effect on HDI. This finding suggests that the contribution of fintech to human development remains conditional on regulatory quality, financial literacy, and a stronger orientation toward productive financing. Overall, the study provides important policy implications for strengthening an inclusive financial system to support sustainable human development.
References
M. Li and W. Gao, “Exploring How Human Capital Development Promotes Economic Transformation: The Comparative Analysis of Emerging Economies,” J. Organ. End User Comput., vol. 37, no. 1, 2025, doi: 10.4018/JOEUC.388939.
N. Kumari, “Tech-fueled human development: ‘role of ICT in enhancing human development - a panel analysis,’” J. Econ. Stud., 2025, doi: 10.1108/JES-11-2024-0742.
A. Tampubolon and S. Purba, “The effect of demographic bonus, health, and physical capital on economic growth in Indonesia,” J. Ekon., vol. 11, no. 02, pp. 821–827, 2022.
D. Sakuntala and A. Tampubolon, “Can the Demographic Bonus be a Strength or a Weakness for Economic Growth in Indonesia ?,” in International Conference of Digital Sciences and Engineering Technology, 2024, pp. 21–29.
A. S. Obukhova, I. G. Ershova, and E. Y. Ershova, “Management of Innovative Development in the Context of Digitalization,” in Advances in Science, Technology and Innovation, vol. Part F354, 2025, pp. 323–328. doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-83041-9_54.
A. Hidayat, A. Putra, R. Tjandrakirana, A. Yulianita, D. P. Atiyatna, and X. Shodrokova, “Financial Institution Index, Banking Stability, And Human Development Index Nexus In Emerging Market Countries 10,” Ikon. Izsled., vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 22–45, 2025.
A. Awdeh, R. Assaf, and F. Ghosn, “The Impact Of Financial Development And Stability On Human Development,” Glob. Econ. J., vol. 23, no. 1–4, 2023, doi: 10.1142/S2194565924500052.
T. A. N. Nguyen, “Human Development, Institutional Quality, And Financial Development: Evidence From Middle-Income Countries,” Econ. - Innov. Econ. Res. J., vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 283–301, 2025, doi: 10.2478/eoik-2025-0066.
M.-L. T. Nguyen, “Financial globalization, technological innovation, and human development in Asean-6 countries: evidence from a panel VAR approach,” Res. Glob., vol. 11, 2025, doi: 10.1016/j.resglo.2025.100318.
M. A. Oyinlola and A. Adedeji, “Human capital, financial sector development and inclusive growth in sub-Saharan Africa,” Econ. Chang. Restruct., vol. 52, no. 1, pp. 43–66, 2019, doi: 10.1007/s10644-017-9217-2.
A. Saroj and et al., “Financial development, human capital, and inclusive growth,” Econ. Model., vol. 126, p. 106324, 2024.
Y. Li, B. Naqvi, E. Caglar, and C.-C. Chu, “N-11 countries: Are the new victims of resource-curse?,” Resour. Policy, vol. 67, 2020, doi: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101697.
M. Ibrahim, “Interactive effects of human capital in finance–economic growth nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa,” J. Econ. Stud., vol. 45, no. 6, pp. 1192–1210, 2018, doi: 10.1108/JES-07-2017-0199.
K. Kamalu and W. H. B. Wan Ibrahim, “Access to Finance and Sustainable Human Development: Does Institutional Quality Matters in Developing Countries?,” Int. J. Membr. Sci. Technol., vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 33–45, 2023, doi: 10.15379/IJMST.VI.1186.
K. Tsaurai and P. Hlupo, “Does financial development enhance foreign trade in selected transitional economies?,” Comp. Econ. Res., vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 69–86, 2020, doi: 10.18778/1508-2008.23.28.
P. M. Romer, “Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth,” J. Polit. Econ., vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1002–1037, 1986.
R. E. Lucas, “On the mechanics of economic development,” J. Monet. Econ., vol. 22, no. February, pp. 3–42, 1988.
N. M. Ha and B. H. Ngoc, “The asymmetric effect of financial development on human capital: Evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach,” J. Int. Trade Econ. Dev., vol. 31, no. 6, pp. 936–952, 2022, doi: 10.1080/09638199.2022.2043930.
M. A. Abdullah, X. Han, M. A. Amjad, and S. Makhmudov, “Revisit the role of financial development on economic growth, human development, and sustainable development in higher-income countries,” J. Environ. Manage., vol. 392, 2025, doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.126874.
K. Tsaurai, “Education-economic growth nexus in BRICS countries: Does financial development matter?,” Int. J. Educ. Econ. Dev., vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 250–265, 2017, doi: 10.1504/IJEED.2017.088817.
M. Ibrahim and Y. A. Sare, “Determinants of financial development in Africa: How robust is the interactive effect of trade openness and human capital?,” Econ. Anal. Policy, vol. 60, pp. 18–26, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2018.09.002.
M. Ibrahim and P. Alagidede, “Nonlinearities in financial development–economic growth nexus: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa,” Res. Int. Bus. Financ., vol. 46, pp. 95–104, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.11.001.
M. Arellano and S. Bond, “Some Test of Spesification for Data Panel: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Aplication of Employment Equations,” Source Rev. Econ. Stud., vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 277–297, 1991, doi:10.2307/2297968.
S. Piatt and A. C. Price, “Analyzing dwell times with the generalized method of moments,” PLoS One, vol. 14, no. 1, 2019, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0197726.
F. Boundi-chraki, “Re-examining the automation-employment nexus from a classical political economy approach,” Struct. Chang. Econ. Dyn., vol. 75, pp. 32–51, 2025, doi: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.05.001.
N. Wang, X. Song, and J. Cheng, “Generalized method of moments estimation of the nakagami-m fading parameter,” IEEE Trans. Wirel. Commun., vol. 11, no. 9, pp. 3316–3325, 2012, doi: 10.1109/TWC.2012.071612.111838.
Aliasuddin, E. Gunawan, and Y. P. Sari, “An application of the GMM model on economic growth in Indonesia,” Opcion, vol. 35, no. 90–2, pp. 524–540, 2019.
M. Arellano and O. Bover, “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models,” J. Econom., vol. 68, no. 1, pp. 29–51, 1995, doi: 10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D.
B. H. Baltagi, Econometric analysis of panel data, 4th ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc, 2008.
R. Blundell and S. Bond, “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models,” J. Econom., no. 87, pp. 115–143, 1998, doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.03.001.
D. Roodman, “How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata,” Stata J., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 86–136, 2009, doi: 10.1177/1536867x0900900106.
C. P. Nguyen, C. Schinckus, F. H. L. Chong, B. Q. Nguyen, and D. T. L. Tran, “Finance, Human Capital and Economic Development: A Multi-Dimensional Analysis and Long-Run Impacts,” Rev. Dev. Financ., vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 65–91, 2023.
S. Hidayat and et al., “Financial development and human development nexus: Evidence from developing countries,” J. Econ. Dev. Stud., vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 55–74, 2025.
E. Obukhova and et al., “Fintech, financial inclusion, and development outcomes,” World Dev., vol. 174, p. 106487, 2025.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Dwita Sakuntala, Arsyaf Tampubolon; Mila Yulia Herosian, Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.




