Analysis of Book Loan Transition Patterns Using Markov Chains
Keywords:
Markov Chain, Transition Patterns, Book Borrowing, University LibraryAbstract
University libraries serve as strategic information hubs supporting academic activities. A key challenge is leveraging borrowing data to inform evidence-based collection planning. This study aims to analyze patterns of book borrowing transitions using Markov Chains. The data utilized consists of physical book borrowing records sorted by member and transaction time. The Markov Chain method was applied to construct a transition probability matrix, thereby identifying dominant borrowing sequences. The results reveal transition patterns between books, which librarians can use to plan collections more effectively. These findings are expected to help improve the efficiency of collection management and support data-driven decision-making.
References
M. R. R. Putra and F. Muttakin, “Prediksi Jumlah Pengunjung Perpustakaan Daerah Kabupaten Batang dengan Menggunakan Metode Fuzzy Time Series Chen-Hsu,” vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 110–119, 2023.
K. Umam, “MIND (Multimedia Artificial Intelligent Networking Database Perbandingan Metode ARIMA dan LSTM pada Prediksi Jumlah Pengunjung Perpustakaan),” J. MIND | ISSN, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 119–129, 2023, [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.26760/mindjournal.v8i2.119-129
E. R. Wulandari and R. Nurisani, “Model Knowledge Management di Perpustakaan Universitas Padjadjaran,” vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 23–36, 2020, doi: 10.14710/lenpust.v6i1.27152.
J. Saptari, “Implementasi Perpustakaan Cerdas,” vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 38–48, 2023.
A. H. Manzis, R. H. Kusumodestoni, H. Mulyo, and T. Informatika, “Optimalisasi FP-Growth dengan Teknik Pruning untuk Analisis Pola Peminjaman Buku UPT Perpustakaan Unisnu Jepara,” vol. 8, 2025.
C. Debates, T. Parr, G. Pezzulo, K. Friston, and T. Parr, “Beyond Markov : Transformers, memory, and attention Beyond Markov : Transformers, memory, and attention ABSTRACT,” Cogn. Neurosci., vol. 16, no. 1–4, pp. 5–23, 2025, doi: 10.1080/17588928.2025.2484485.
K. Khujamatov, K. Ahmad, E. Reypnazarov, and D. Khasanov, “Markov Chain Based Modeling Bandwidth States of the Wireless Sensor Networks of Monitoring System,” vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 4889–4903, 2020.
P. Suryati et al., “Analisis pola peminjaman buku dengan menggunakan algoritma Apriori,” pp. 17–23, 2020.
S. Khademizadeh, Z. Nematollahi, and F. Danesh, “Library and Information Science Research Analysis of book circulation data and a book recommendation system in academic libraries using data mining techniques,” Libr. Inf. Sci. Res., vol. 44, no. 4, p. 101191, 2022, doi: 10.1016/j.lisr.2022.101191.
E. R. Pebriansyah and T. A. Fitri, “PREDICTION OF LIBRARY BOOK BORROWING PATTERNS USING THE,” vol. 7, no. 4, 2025.
N. Mawaddah, D. Permana, N. Amalita, and A. Salma, “Analisis Pola Curah Hujan di Kota Bengkulu Menggunakan Model Rantai Markov,” vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 352–359, 2025.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Andri Ismail Sitepu, Zulham Sitorus

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.




