Impact of Land Use Dynamics and Settlement Preferences on Flood Risk in River Basin Areas
Keywords:
SWOT, Residential Preferences, Watersheds (DAS)Abstract
Ecosystem transformation in the Asahan Regency Watershed shows a striking pattern of degradation, indicating a drastic change in the land-use structure that triggers an escalation of flood risk. The selection of settlement sites that are not based on disaster mitigation exacerbates these conditions, creating a complex synergy between ecological pressures and less adaptive human decisions. This study adopts a SWOT analysis approach to identify the linkages between internal and external factors in the dynamics of these changes. The findings of the study revealed that despite mitigation efforts through spatial planning policies and restoration projects, inadequate infrastructure and weak public awareness remain the main obstacles in reducing the intensity of disasters. By integrating community-based ecological strategies and capacity building in development policies, it is hoped that an environment that is more resilient to future flood risks can be created.
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